November 2008 Art Market Review Video - artmarketblog.com

November 2008 Art Market Review Video - artmarketblog.com

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Art Market Past and Present - artmarketblog.com

Art Market Past and Present - artmarketblog.com

albert-oehlen3If you believe that art auction results are the be all and end all of the art market and that art auction results tell the full story of the evolution of art prices then you should probably reconsider your point of view. What art auction results do reflect is an extremely narrow view of how art market participants are reacting to the various influences that affect what price people are willing to pay for a work of art at a very specific moment in time. Looking at the sale history of an artwork over a period of one or two years or for that matter even five years may not give enough information to be able to truly appreciate how the value of that artwork has evolved.

It is difficult to make sense of what is happening when so many different points of view are being expressed by various experts and the media but when one puts things into perspective the figures speak for themselves. As an example of what I am talking about I will use the recent sale of the work “Untitled” (1992) by Albert Oehlen at the Sotheby’s Contemporary Art Day auction on the 12th of November (2008). The estimate for this work was USD $250,000 - $300,000 however it sold for $200,000 (hammer price) which doesn’t appear to be a particularly good result but the full story of this work paints a different picture. First of all, lets look at the sale history of similar works. In June 2002 another “Untitled” work painting in 1989 by Oehlen of a similar size sold for USD $17,322 (hammer price) with several other similar works selling for around the same price. To put this into perspective, if someone had purchased “Untitled” (1992) at auction in 2001 for USD $17,322 (hammer price) and then sold the work for USD $200,000 (hammer price) at the November 12 2008 auction that person would have received an increase of around 860% (taking fees into consideration) on their initial investment which, regardless of the fact that the work sold for $50,000 under the estimate at Sotheby’s on November 12, is an extremely good return. The purpose of this example is to show that the performance of a work of art cannot be determined from one auction results but needs to be assessed using data from a period of at least 10 years.

Another work by Oehlen, “Untitled” (1990), was also sold at the same sale as the above mentioned “Untitled” (1992) but with an estimate of USD $200,000 - $300,000 which was a $50,000 wider estimate than the USD $250,000 - $300,000 estimate for “Untitled” (1990). Although they both sold for the same price and had the same upper estimate the different lower estimate resulted in the sale of one work looking better than the other work. The perceived performance of these works of art have been manipulated by the auction house which once again shows how important it is to look at the big picture. The wider estimate of “Untitled” (1990) may reflect nothing more than the auction house having difficulty determining what the estimate should be and may not have been done to purposely affect people’s perception of the work but never the less the actions of the auction house did in this instance have the potential to alter the way people viewed the sale results and, consequently, the value of the works.

Am I optimistic about the future of the art market? Yes I am, because there are plenty of signs that people have confidence in the art market and have not lost their nerve. One such sign is the strong results being achieved for contemporary art which has been particularly evident with the November auctions as seen in the table below. The table from chelseaartgalleries.com shows the most successful lots from the November 14 Phillips De Pury Contemporary Art Part II auction. It is important to note that the prices in the table are exceptional and are not representative of the whole market for contemporary art but what they do show is that there is still plenty of confidence in the work of contemporary artists. There has definitely been a reduction in the average price people are willing to pay for many contemporary works but that doesn’t mean that the prices being paid aren’t still good in the overall scheme of things as I have shown in the earlier example of the Albert Oehlen works. The relatively strong market for top works of contemporary art reflects the continued confidence in the work of contemporary artists whose work would usually be expected to be the most seriously affected because of the higher risk involved in purchasing such works. Regardless of what people were paying for works of contemporary art six months ago the prices being paid in this first phase of the art market correction represent an art market that is exceeding expectations on many levels and is still showing strength and resilience in a time of financial distress and uncertainty.

Best performers from November 14 Phillips De Pury Contemporary Art Part II auction:

1 Jin Meyerson Lot: 456 $40,000 - $60,000 $200,000 3.33 times high estimate
2 Steven Charles Lot: 243 $8,000 - $12,000 $32,000 2.67 times high estimate
3 Jack Goldstein Lot: 329 $35,000 - $45,000 $90,000 2.00 times high estimate
4 Eric Freeman Lot: 449 $7,000 - $9,000 $16,000 1.78 times high estimate
5 Beatriz Milhazes Lot: 105 $150,000 - $200,000 $310,000 1.55 times high estimate
6 Yayoi Kusama Lot: 260 $12,000 - $18,000 $26,000 1.44 times high estimate
7 George Baselitz Lot: 346 $15,000 - $20,000 $28,000 1.40 times high estimate
8 Nasser Azam Lot: 120 $150,000 - $200,000 $275,000 1.38 times high estimate

Image:
Albert Oehlen
Untitled
78 3/4 by 78 3/4 in. 200 by 200 cm.
oil on canvas
Estimate: $250,000 - $350,000
Winning bid: $200,000

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Art Market Correction Statistics - artmarketblog.com

Art Market Correction Statistics - artmarketblog.com

Copyright@Artprice.com

Since the beginning of September, the art market has contracted for the first time since 1990. Although it survived 9/11, the meltdown of the global financial system has been too much for the “pleasure investment” market. The figures speak for themselves

Compared with January of this year, the average prices of publicly sold art works during October contracted 14.5% . Retrospectively, the end of 2007 - beginning of 2008 now looks like the market’s peak.
According to our data, the prices commanded by artists in all segments of the market - from the speculative top-end of the market to the affordable segments (<10,000 euros) - are being punished by the current context. Indeed, the value depreciation of “speculative” works tends to drag down values in the safer segments. Our figures show an equally strong impact in the small provincial auction rooms and at the major prestigious auction houses: since the beginning of October, the crisis has had a significant impact.

And nor is the ultra top-end of the market, where masterpieces change hands for hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars, exempt from this overall trend. Driven by demand from the nouveau riche in Asia, Russia and the Middle-East, prices were buoyant up until June. However, we see a clear contraction since the end of August. The bought-in rate has more than doubled in one year, growing from 25% at the end of 2007 to 54% in October 2008. Paradoxically, the prices of works presented above the 100,000 euros line (and which were successfully sold) have remained stable compared with the levels recorded 12 months earlier. On this segment of the market, bearing in mind the time lapse between the moment when works are valued and the final closing of the sales catalogues and orchestration of the sale, price adjustments are slow or inadequate. As reserve prices have not been adjusted to take into account the new market reality, the first expression of a new supply/demand equilibrium during periods of crisis is an increase in the bought-in rate.

Whereas the top-end of the market (4.1% of transactions) has shown relative price inertia, on the more dynamic segment of works offered for less than 100,000 euros, reactions have been more spontaneous: price adjustments are already underway. In this segment, the price index calculated using the repeated sales method has dropped 18% compared with October 2007!

The impact of the crisis has already spread around the world. Globalisation appears to be equally efficient in both directions; prices have contracted in New York, Paris and London - i.e. at the heart of the market - and in the new art market growth zones around Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. The very latest results recorded in these new markets are extremely disappointing. Take for example the $16.9m overall revenue figure generated by Christie’s Middle East from its 29-30 October sales in Dubai compared with the $ 32 - 43m expected. In Hong-Kong in October 2007, Sotheby’s posted a bought-in rate below 10%. This year, at the same sales, this ratio was nearly 29%.

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Awesome Online Photo Auction - artmarketblog.com

Awesome Online Photo Auction - artmarketblog.com

Daniel Cooney Fine Art are auctioning a fantastic collection of photographs by masters such as Steichen, Steiglitz, W.Eugene Smith as well as works by more contemporary photographers such as Kate Breakey and Herb Ritts. The most important piece of information is that the auction ends in a few hours so you will have to be quick if you want to bid. By the looks of things there are some real bargains waiting to be snapped up so do take the time to have a browse.

See auction here:
http://auction.igavel.com/ClientInfo.taf?_function=info&id=2759&skip=1

William Mortenson, Human Relations, 1932 D1FF

According to the auction website:
Daniel Cooney Fine Art is proud to announce our current Photographs and Fine Art Auction. The auction offers some beautiful images by long time luminaries such as Manuel Alvarez Bravo, Lotte Jacobi and George Platt Lynes and many others. The auction also features a group of contemporary photographs by Kate Breakey, Tseng Kwong Chi and Herb Ritts among others. All of the artwork in the auction is available for personal inspection during gallery hours and by appointment. If you are unable to visit us please do not hesitate to contact us for detailed condition reports or any other reason

The great thing about i-gavel is that they are art and antique auction specialists and as such provide guarantees for authenticity & condition. If you miss out on the works being offered by Daniel Cooney you can check out other i-gavel auctions here:
http://auction.igavel.com/

image:
William Mortenson, Human Relations, 1932 D1FF

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Art Sydney 08 Art Fair Report - artmarketblog.com

Art Sydney 08 Art Fair Report - artmarketblog.com

img_00022A few weeks ago I attended the Art Sydney 08 Art Fair (http://www.artsydney08.com.au) which is Sydney’s largest annual art fair and is produced by Single Market Events who Single Market Events in association with International Concert Attractions (ICA) and the Affordable Art Fairs which take place annually in London and New York. Previous Art Sydney fairs have been rather impressive with plenty of quality work on show however this year Art Sydney 08 had to compete with the biennial Melbourne Art Fair (http://www.artfair.com.au) which is the leading art fair and public exposition in the Asia Pacific region and one of Australia’s most significant exhibitions of contemporary visual art. The art market in Australia is quite small which means that most galleries could not justify attending both fairs so with the Melbourne Art Fair being a far more prestigious event most of the major galleries chose to give Art Sydney 08 a miss. Unfortunately this left Art Sydney 08 with plenty of available exhibition spaces which were filled with tacky galleries showing works of decorative art that resembled the mass produced objects available from stores such as Target and Ikea. Luckily a few trendy galleries showing emerging contemporary artists such as Chalk Horse Gallery (http://www.chalkhorse.com.au/) and Horus and Deloris Contemporary Art Space (http://www.horusanddeloris.com.au/) were in attendance which gave some credibility to the fair.

With the Melbourne Art Fair about to become annual Art Sydney 08 will have to up the ante significantly if they are going to be able to compete which I hope they will because the fair has the potential to be a really significant event.

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Christie’s Post-War and Contemporary Art Auction - artmarketblog.com

Christie’s Post-War and Contemporary Art Auction - artmarketblog.com

Sale Information:
Sale 2048
post-war and contemporary art evening sale
12 November 2008
New York, Rockefeller Plaza

"Lake Resort Nurse" by Richard Prince

"Lake Resort Nurse" by Richard Prince

Lot Description:
Lot 10
Richard Prince (b. 1949)
Lake Resort Nurse
signed, titled and dated ‘Richard Prince 2003 LAKE RESORT NURSE’ (on the stretcher)
ink-jet print and acrylic on canvas
70 x 48 in. (177.8 x 121.9 cm.)
Painted in 2003.
Estimate: US$5,000,000 - $7,000,000

Although Prince’s “Nurse” series of paintings are the most iconic works by the artist they are not usually regarded as his most important work. The price of Prince’s “Nurse” works has sky rocketed over the past couple of years culminating in the sale of “Overseas Nurse” at Sotheby’s in July of this year for 4.2 million pounds (US$8.4 million) including buyers premium, a record for the artist. Works from the “Nurse” series began appearing at auction in 2005 with “Bachelor Nurse” which sold for US$484,000 including buyers premium. I fear that the extreme and rapid price increase of Prince’s work, especially his “Nurse” series, may be the result of what I like to call the “trophy syndrome” where artist’s work takes on the characteristics of a designer brand and is purchased with the intention of showing how much money they have to spend on designer items where the value is more in the brand than the object it’s self. Funnily enough in 2007 Prince worked with the designer Marc Jacobs to make handbags for Louis Vuitton which were unveiled at a fashion show where the bags were paraded by models dressed in outfits inspired by the “Nurse” paintings.

With the likelihood of more “Nurse” paintings appearing at auction at a lower price point in the near future I think that buyers will struggle to justify purchasing this work at all let alone for US$5,000,000 - $7,000,000.

Lot details here:

http://www.christies.com/LotFinder/lot_details.aspx?from=searchresults&intObjectID=5147464&sid=452dad28-fe20-4180-9c4d-61afdc897bca

Lot Description:
Jean-Michel Basquiat (1960-1988)
Untitled (Boxer)
signed ‘Jean Michel Basquiat’ (on the reverse)
acrylic and oil paintstick on linen
76 x 94 in. (193 x 239 cm.)
Painted in 1982.

Having died in 1988 aged only 27, works by Jean-Michel Basquiat will always be scarce meaning the artist’s very best works such as the monumental “Untitled (Boxer)” will be even more highly coveted by investors and collectors. A highlight of Christie’s Post War and Contemporary Art auction taking place on the 12th and 13th of November, “Untitled (Boxer)” is one of the most important works by the artist ever to come to auction and was one of the featured works of the 2005 Basquiat retrospective which was organised by the Brooklyn Museum and toured around the USA. Basquiat is one of those tortured geniuses who have short but intense careers that result in a profound and intense body of work which, in the case of Basquiat, reflected the fast-paced, spontaneous, passionate yet self-destructive life that he led. Very much an art world hero, Basquiat is the sort of artist whose work appeals to a wide range of people for a variety of reasons which is evident in the the amount of attention that has been given to the sale of “Untitled (Boxer)”.

The desirability of “Untitled (Boxer)” is significantly increased by the following factors:

1. Artist died young leaving small body of work
2. Artist has a dramatic and controversial life story
3. Interesting provenance including ownership by a museum and a celebrity
4. One of the most important works of Basquiat’s oeuvre
5. Art historical significance

“Profit I” (1982), a work closely related to “Untitled (Boxer)”, was sold at Christie’s in 2002 for US$5 million (hammer price) which if multiplied by the average increase in price of Basquiat’s work according to artprice.com would come to almost US$25 million. “Profit I” is, however, a significantly larger work (220×400 cm compared to 193 x 239 cm) and is considered to be Basquiat’s greatest masterpiece. The current auction record for a Basquiat is $14.6 million for “Untitled,” which sold at Sotheby’s last year. Estimated to fetch between US$12million and $16million, “Untitled (Boxer)” undoubtedly has the potential to be a record-breaker with value still beyond the upper estimate. The provenance, significance of the work as a part of the artist’s oeuvre and the importance of this work in an art historical context is more than enough to justify the purchase of this work at the upper end of the estimate (US$16,000,000) even in the current economic climate.

Lot details here:

http://www.christies.com/LotFinder/lot_details.aspx?from=searchresults&pos=9&intObjectID=5147473&sid=452dad28-fe20-4180-9c4d-61afdc897bca

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Winners of Abraaj Capital Art Prize Announced - artmarketblog.com

Winners of Abraaj Capital Art Prize Announced - artmarketblog.com

Dubai, London – The selection committee of the Abraaj Capital Art Prize today announced the three recipient curator/artist teams of its first competition: Cristiana Perrella & Kutluğ Ataman; Carol Solomon & Zoulikha Boubadellah; and Leyla Fakhr & Nazgol Ansarinia. Their projects, which are being created this very moment, will be unveiled during Art Dubai of March 2009. As Art Dubai is the Middle East’s largest modern and contemporary annual art fair, the unveiling during this event will offer the winning artists an unparalleled opportunity to widen their global reputation and network. The works will become part of the Abraaj Capital corporate collection.

The Abraaj Capital Art Prize, one of the most generous art prizes in the world, provides an exciting opportunity for creative collaboration between international curators and artists from the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia (MENASA) region. Almost 100 curator/artists applications were received, evaluated and discussed by the Abraaj Capital Art Prize selection committee. The committee looked for innovative ideas and use of medium; a reflection of regional and local cultural principles, experimental art production  techniques; and a balanced application which showed the curators’ strength and ability to push the artists’ boundaries. The prize was established in April of 2008 and is designed to create a viable platform for individual artists who are revered in their local communities but lack international critical and commercial exposure. ACAP provides them with the opportunity to hone their talents working alongside international curators and to reach a global audience through the display of their work at Art Dubai. The Abraaj Capital Art Prize is the world’s largest art competition endowment, worth a total of US$1 million.

Winners:

kutlug_cristianna05Cristiana Perrella (b. 1965, Rome) is curator of the Contemporary Arts Programme at the British School in Rome where she has developed a series of events focused on the dialogue between the British and Italian art scenes. She curated several one-man shows and published a number of monographs. She is working with Kutluğ Ataman (b. 1961, Istanbul), who studied at UCLA in Los Angeles and has pursued successful careers in both feature film-making and contemporary art. His works primarily document the lives of the marginalized individual, examining the way in which people create and recreate their identities. In 2003 the London Observer named him ‘artist of the year’ and in 2004 he was short-listed for the prestigious Turner prize. Ataman’s movies include The Serpent’s Tale (Karanlik Sular) (1994); Lola+Bilidikid (1999); and 2 Girls (2005). Cristiana Perrella saw Ataman’s first work Semiha Unplugged in 1997 and has followed his career ever since. In 2006 his work was included in a Perrella-curated show and in 2007 she invited him for a residency program at the British School in Rome.

carol_zoulikha06Carol Solomon (b. 1953, Pennsylvania) is currently Visiting Associate Professor of Art History at Haverford College, Haverford, Pennsylvania. She was Curator of European Art at
the Mead Art Museum at Amherst College in Massachusetts, worked at the Museum of Fine Arts in Boston and has taught at several prestigious universities in the US and Canada.
Video and installation artist Zoulikha Bouabdellah (b. 1977, Moscow) who was raised in Algeria and who studied in Paris will work alongside Carol Solomon. Since finishing her studies in 2002, Zoulikha has been widely exhibited and  major shows include L’art au fémin (2008) in Algiers and Airs de Paris (2007) in Paris. In 2007 her work was featured in the African Pavilion at the 52nd Venice Biennale. Carol Solomon first encountered Zoulikha Boubadellah in 2007 in Paris during the Airs de Paris show. In 2008 she included two of Boubadellah’s works in the The Third Space: Cultural Identity Today at the Mead Art Museum in Amherst College and invited her to be a visiting artist in residence during the same time.

nazgol_leyla01Leyla Fakhr (b. 1979, Isfahan) studied in London and Tehran and is assistant curator at Tate Britain and independent curator in Tehran. In 2006 she curated Untitled (do not give your opinion), an exhibition of works by Nazgol Ansarinia (b. 1979, Tehran) with whom she will collaborate for the Abraaj Capital Art Prize. Nazgol studied graphic design in London,
followed by an MFA in San Francisco. After having worked in the US and Europe, she returned to Tehran where her work focuses on everyday objects and their relationship to a larger social context. Dissecting the daily and piecing it back together to make other structures and patterns apparent often forms the core of her work. Leyla Fakhr and Nazgol Ansarinia met while working at the Tehran Museum of Contemporary Art. Since then a strong artist-curator relationship as well as a profound friendship has underpinned their collaborations. In 2007 Fakhr curated Ansarinia’s first solo show at the Ave Gallery in Tehran.

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Art Auction Estimates Mean Little - artmarketblog.com

Art Auction Estimates Mean Little - artmarketblog.com

calculatorWhile looking through the real-estate section of a newspaper the other day I realised how much more useful those listings were that included information (date and price) regarding the last time the property was traded as well as the estimated price. There is no doubt that it is in the best interest of the auction house to provide an estimate because with an estimate the auction house is, in essence, able to dictate to the buyer what they think they should be getting for the painting regardless of whether that estimate reflects the current market value. Basically what I am getting at is that auction houses do not have to justify the estimate that they place on a work and as such are able to manipulate the perceived value of a work by providing highly inflated estimates.

If the auction houses were to include date that each work was last sold and the price that it sold for it would mean that they would have to actually justify the estimates that they put on works and would therefore not be able to get away with unrealistically high estimates. Auction houses can also use low estimates to make the sale price look far higher than it really was by setting the estimate below what they know the work should sell for. As an example of the way that the previously traded price can have a major impact on the way the value of an artwork is perceived and how the estimate is not as useful as people may think let’s pretend that Cezanne’s La Cote du Galet à Pontoise is about to be sold at auction. Let’s say that the estimate for La Cote du Galet à Pontoise was set at US$4million - US$7million and sold for US$8 million dollars which would seem like a successful sale. For starters the estimate should be more like US$7million - US$10million and if one was to look at the sale history of this work one would find that La Cote du Galet à Pontoise came up for auction at Sotheby’s in 1996 and sold for US$11 million then came up again for auction at for auction in 2000 at Phillips de Pury & Co where it sold for US$8.5 million. Doesn’t look like such a great buy now does it. The moral of the story is don’t rely on auction estimates to determine the value of a work of art and always look at the date and price of the last sale.

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Herb Williams’ Obama Portrait Video - artmarketblog.com

Herb Williams’ Obama Portrait Video - artmarketblog.com

“Obama Portrait In Thousands of Crayons”

This is a short story on Nashville artist Herb Williams, who spent over four months making a large 3-d portrait of Barack Obama out of thousands of crayons. You can view more of the crayon sculptures at www.herbwilliamsart.com.

See video here:

http://www.wsmv.com/video/17916594/index.html

Please also follow this link and digg the video to spread the word!!

http://digg.com/arts_culture/Obama_Portrait_In_Thousands_of_Crayons?OTC-em-st1

Well done Herb !!!

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Free Shepard Fairey Obama Victory Stickers - artmarketblog.com

Free Shepard Fairey Obama Victory Stickers - artmarketblog.com

Free sticker celebrating Obama victory by Shepard Fairey available here:
http://pol.moveon.org/shepstickers/?id=-3768774-adT5Utx

From moveon.org website:
These commemorative stickers mark Barack Obama’s historic victory and were designed by groundbreaking artist Shepard Fairey—the same artist who designed the world-famous, iconic “Hope” poster for Obama.

obama-faireyYou can get one sticker for free. For a $3+ donation, we’ll send you 5 stickers. For a $20+ donation, we’ll send 50 stickers. Stickers are 4.5″ x 6″ (about the size of a postcard) and may take 5-7 weeks to arrive.

Also available starting Saturday November 8, at 12:30 p.m. ET will be a full size print of the image in a limited edition of 5000. These 5,000 limited edition prints are 24″ x 36″ and are offset printed on French Paper Company’s Cream Speckletone stock under the artist’s supervision. Each print is numbered by hand, 1 through 5000. The first 1000 in the series are signed by Shepard Fairey.

The prints signed by the artist will be available to those who donate $500 or more, while supplies last. The unsigned prints will be available to those who donate $80 or more, plus an additional $10 donation to cover shipping, while supplies last.

Print will be available here:
https://pol.moveon.org/shepstickers/leposters.html

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Future50 UK Art Sale at Axis Online - artmarketblog.com

Future50 UK Contemporary Artists at Axis - artmarketblog.com

future502 A fantastic opportunity to purchase work by some of Britain’s hottest emerging artists called Future50 has recently been launched by Axis, the online contemporary art portal. According to the website, Axis (http://www.axisweb.org) is the best online resource for information about contemporary art. The website features profiles of professional artists and curators, interviews, discussions, art news, debates and showcases the artists to watch.

Future50 features fifty of the most interesting and significant UK artists of 2008, handpicked by curator and gallerist Ceri Hand and Axis curator Liz Aston from the Axis website. The project provides a snapshot of diverse, exciting contemporary practice alongside the opportunity to buy great works of art. All work is available for sale and can be purchased online. All the works on display have affordable price tags, starting from £120.

The full catalogue can be viewed here:
http://www.axisweb.org/Future50SearchResults.aspx

Please note that online purchasing will be suspended during 20-24 November when purchasing will only be possible at PSL [Project Space Leeds] during Future50 opening hours.

The first annual Future50 exhibition will take place at PSL (Project Space Leeds), between 21 and 23 November 2008. Contemporary art specialists will be on hand to offer expert advice and information about the artists. If you want to see the exhibition, PSL is located in Leeds city centre, just 5 minutes walk from Leeds Train Station. Please use the car park at Leeds Train Station as Whitehall Waterfront car park closes at 4pm. PSL is accessible to wheelchair users. Please contact us at future50@axisweb.org or 0845 362 8230 if you have any other access requirements.

PSL [Project Space Leeds]
Whitehall Waterfront
2 Riverside Way
Leeds LS1 4EH

Future50 will be open 12-6pm

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.

Ignore November Art Auctions - artmarketblog.com

Ignore November Art Auctions - artmarketblog.com

malevich-suprematistThere seems to be a significant amount of concern regarding the outcome of the November art auctions to the point where those who follow what some journalists write about the art market might believe that the November art auctions are a crucial indicator of the current and future health of the art market when they are not. The low correlation between what is currently happening in the art auction market and what is currently happening in the rest of the art market (galleries, fairs etc.) is, in my opinion, more than enough reason to reject current art auction results as the sole indicator of the health of the art market. The art auction market was isolated enough from the rest of the art market during the market peak but is now even more isolated which means that the art auction market only provides part of the story.

Because many of the estimates and reserves set prior to the financial crisis will have remained unaltered the auction results are likely to provide more realistic impression of what people are currently willing to pay for art at auction. This is due to the lack of the encouragement to bid and the incentive to buy that are a result of lower estimates and reserves . The standard practice of altering estimates and reserves to suit market conditions does, however, mean that although the results of the auctions with unaltered reserves and estimates may reflect a more accurate representation of the current the cannot really be compared to past auction results and should therefore not be relied upon as an indicator of the status of the art auction market.

In conclusion, the main reasons that the November art auctions should not be used as an indicator of the health of the art market are:

-The low correlation between what is currently happening in the art auction market and what is currently happening in the rest of the art market

-Buyers are are abandoning auctions for the safety and control of purchasing at galleries or fairs.

-Sellers are avoiding auctions at the moment for fear of having works not sell or sell for well below the estimate either of which is likely to have a negative effect on future attempts to sell those works.

-Reserves and estimates will most likely have been set prior to the financial crisis took hold meaning that they will be reflective of expectations prior to the financial crisis and will be extremely optimistic.

-Those buyers and sellers who don’t have the sort of money available to be able to shrug off the purchase of a work for way above estimate or the sale of a work at a loss will be more likely to be sitting out the November auctions and waiting to see how things pan out.

image:
KAZIMIR MALEVICH
1879-1935
SUPREMATIST COMPOSITION
Lot Sold at Sotheby’s November 3 sale.
Hammer Price with Buyer’s Premium: $60,002,500 USD

**Nicholas Forrest is an art market analyst, art critic and journalist based in Sydney, Australia. He is the founder of http://www.artmarketblog.com, writes the art column for the magazine Antiques and Collectibles for Pleasure and Profit and contributes to many other publications.