17th November 2008

Mortgage Rate Update – Week of November 17, 2008

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The week in review:

As expected, the Friday’s Retail Sales Report showed that overall retail sales fell for the fourth straight month.  We also received word from several retailers that warned about future earnings.  Bad economic news usually causes rates to go down.  However, despite the bad news, home loan rates went up by about .125% last week.

What to expect:

There will be a number of reports and news items for the markets to digest this week.  None are bigger than the Consumer Price index.  As I’ve said in many of my rate updates, low inflation = lower rates.  Could this finally be a report to drive rates lower?  Well, I would have to assume by all the price reductions I see from a broad range of product and service providers that inflation is lower than previously reported.  We’ll have to wait and see.

Breg-ometer:

Next 7 days: There are plenty of reasons to feel rates should be slightly lower
Next 30 – 90 days: Neutral

Courtesy of:
Bob Bregitzer

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14th November 2008

Smyrna Vinings Holiday Home Tour

December 7, 2008
12:00 pmto6:00 pm

Smyrna Vinings Holiday Home Tour

Emory-Adventist Hospital at Smyrna will hold its 7th annual Holiday Home Tour, Sunday, December 7, noon to 6:00 p.m.  The tour features incredible homes in the Smyrna Vinings community, offering a wide variety of architectural design, from a Contemporary on the river to a stately Georgian style on the Silver Comet Trail.

Each home will be decorated for the holiday season, highlighting the talents of local designers and decorators.

Proceeds from the annual Holiday Home Tours go to benefit the programs and projects of The Foundation of Emory-Adventist Hospital.

Admission is $20 per person.  The ticket provides admission to the tour of homes, as well as a tearoom and auction at The Community Bank of the South.  You may purchase tickets by calling 770-319-2025.  Tickets are also available at Karen’s Gifts, and The Flashy Frog, located in Smyrna.

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13th November 2008

Vinings Jubilee 2008 Holiday Tree Lighting

December 4, 2008
6:00 pmto8:00 pm

Vinings Village Christmas Tree Lighting

Bring your family, friends and neighbors for some holiday fun at the Annual Christmas Tree Lighting at Vinings Jubilee.

Holiday music, pony rides, the Vinings Express, face painting, balloon twisting and of course….Santa Claus!

Enjoy the sounds of the season, tastes of holidays treats, rides on reindeer ponies and a special train, magic tricks and a visit from jolly old St. Nick himself.  It’s all for fun, and fun for all!

Vinings Jubilee 2008 Holiday Tree Lighting
December 4, 2008
Times: 6-8pm
Location:  Vinings Jubilee
Phone:  770-438-8080
Admission:  Free

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11th November 2008

Veterans Day

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10th November 2008

Mortgage Rate Update – Week of November 10, 2008

The week in review:

As expected, home loan rates decreased by about .25% on the week.  The stock market took a beating on Wednesday and Thursday after the election and money flowed into bonds, a safer investment, and that caused rates to come down.

What to expect:

It is a slow week for economic reporting up until Friday when the retail sale report is released.  A poor report will generally lead to lower home loan rates.  If you saw last week’s update, you know rates have fluctuated significantly every week for the past six weeks.   It would be nice to see the pattern broken and for rates to continue lower.

Breg-ometer:

Next 7 days: Retail sale report will be a stinker.  No change to slightly lower
Next 30 to 90 days: Neutral

Courtesy of:
Bob Bregitzer

[where: 30080]

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6th November 2008

Voters pass TAD amendment

As just reported by the Atlanta Business Chronicle, “Georgia cities and counties will be able to use school property taxes to improve blighted areas in their communities, a critical revenue component for redevelopment zones known as tax allocation districts.”

This is great news for the Smyrna Vinings community and the TAD projects that have been in process at Jonquil Village and Belmont Hills.

“With 96 percent of precincts statewide having reported Tuesday’s election results by Wednesday afternoon, a constitutional amendment allowing TADs to be funded with school taxes was well on its way to passage. More than 1.8 million Georgians supported the amendment, good for 51.5 percent of the vote, while about 1.7 million opposed it.

The Georgia Supreme Court ruled unanimously last February in a lawsuit challenging Atlanta’s Beltline TAD that school property taxes could only be used for education.

TAD supporters in the General Assembly responded by pushing the constitutional amendment through the legislature, setting up Tuesday’s statewide vote.

Atlanta and other communities have continued to move forward with TAD projects since the ruling. But since school taxes make up at least half of the typical property tax bill, those projects have been scaled back significantly.”

Click here to see the ABC article in its entirety.

With the passage of the TAD amendment, Georgia will now be able to use an effective financing vehicle that has been used in numerous other states for decades. However, don’t expect smooth sailing even with the amendment. The respective school boards will still be responsible for signing off on the TAD developments, estimates, etc., which they have proven to be hesitant to do in the past as this is certainly not an area that you expect your local school board member to be an expert.

Nonetheless, this could prove to re-energize the Jonquil Village project at the corner of Atlanta Road and Spring Road.

Stay tuned for more details…

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3rd November 2008

Your Vote Counts on November 4th

While this may sound like a political message, this is really an update on local developments and the importance of voting tomorrow will have on local developments, in particular Jonquil Village and Belmont Hills.

The City of Smyrna has pursued the use of Tax Allocation Districts (TADs) to help finance the improvements necessary to redevelop Jonquil Village at the corner of Atlanta Road and Spring Road, as well as Belmont Hills at the corner of Windy Hill Road and Atlanta Road.

Tax Allocation Districts (TADs) are an economic development tool for improving blighted areas by stimulating redevelopment and growth of the tax base.  Through TADs, local governments issue bonds to fund infrastructure improvements needed to attract private redevelopment within a blighted area.

As property values rise, the incremental increase in property tax revenue generated by the redevelopment is used to repay the bonds (usually 20 to 25 years).  Local school districts may elect to participate in the TAD, and typically negotiate for special benefits or payments in lieu of foregone tax revenue.

In 2008, the Georgia Supreme Court ruled that using property taxes allocated for schools to repay TAD bonds was in violation of the Education Purposes Clause of the State Constitution.

On Tuesday, November 4th, you can vote “Yes” for the amendment which will clarify that local school districts may choose to participate in TADs, which puts TAD financing back in the same position as before the Court’s ruling.

Keep in mind that Tax Allocation Districts are somewhat unchartered territory in Georgia, but have been used around the country in various states successfully for decades. The one well-known example in Atlanta is Atlantic Station.

The opponents of TAD financing point to the school’s “losing” property tax revenue from the use of TADs. This simply isn’t a correct assessment of the situation. With TADs, the schools still receive the same property taxes as pre-development. The increased property taxes are used to repay the bonds issued to pay for improvements. When the bonds are paid off, the school district will then reap the full benefit of the increased property values and related taxes.

If the development never occurs, then they’re also “losing” property tax revenue under their argument, which seems to prove how baseless their view is on the use of TADs. It really is a win-win situation. On top of that, the schools will also benefit in the interim through new development through other complimentary developments in the area, new homes, and don’t forget about SPLOST. SPLOST is a 1% tax added to sales tax in the county and allocated to the schools. With the new development, you’ll see an increase in SPLOST revenue in the short-term.

The current financing issues in the market have made the use of TADS even more important. As Ashley Hungerford with the Marietta Daily Journal reported on September 25th, the Jonquil Village developers are still fully committed to proceeding with the original plans for Jonquil Village, but have been forced to scale back on construction work as they try to obtain additional financing for the project.

Undoubtedly, they are eager for your vote on November 4th.

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3rd November 2008

Mortgage Rate Update – Week of November 3, 2008

Month in review:

The rollercoaster ride continues.  The month of October brought some of the widest weekly swings I’ve ever seen.  Here is a quick summary of the 30 year fixed average rates.

October 2008 weekly mortgage rates data*:

Oct. 30: 6.46 %
Oct. 23: 6.04 %
Oct. 16: 6.46 %
Oct. 09: 5.94 %
Oct. 02: 6.10 %

A .50% rate movement in a week is becoming the norm.  Will the trend continue?

What to expect:

Yes, it will continue as our volatile markets show no signs of stability yet.  This should be an interesting week.  First, we have a little event known as the presidential election.  Emotions will be running high and the outcome could move the markets either way.  Secondly, we find out at the end of the week how our labor market is holding up.  Everyone, including Joe the plumber, is guessing we’ve lost more jobs.  Generally speaking, this would translate into lower home loan rates.

Our current financial condition should cause home loan rates to drop.  However, once again this week, we have events taking place that could make rates go either direction.

Breg-ometer:

Next 7 days: Lower (Disclaimer: if the stock market makes big gains because of election results, expect the opposite)
Next 30 to 90 days:  Lower

* - Source: Freddie Mac weekly mortgage market survey

Courtesy of:
Bob Bregitzer

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1st November 2008

Smyrna Vinings Foreclosure Update

Smyrna Vinings Foreclosures

Certainly plenty of opportunity abounds in the foreclosure market and there’s certainly lots of activity in this area. This week we’ve had

  • 13 new foreclosures hit the market
  • 8 foreclosures go under contract
  • 5 foreclosures sold

So with plenty of deals available in the area, it may be a great time for you to consider investing in real estate. If we can be of assistance, don’t hesitate to ask.

Click here for a current list of Smyrna Vinings foreclosures.

Also, be sure to contact us for a more detailed list of foreclosures, short-sales and distressed properties in the area.

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31st October 2008

Happy Halloween

Happy Halloween to everyone in Smyrna Vinings. Looks like great weather for tonight’s activities. Be careful out there and we’ll see you tomorrow.

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